The Predictioneer's Game
Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future
Summary:
The book explores a method of predicting political, economic, and social events based on the assumption that people act in their own self-interest. It delves into game theory and a computer algorithm developed by the author to forecast the outcomes of various scenarios by analyzing strategic actions and incentives of individuals and groups.
Key points:
1. Rational Choice Theory: The book suggests that people make decisions to benefit themselves, considering their goals and limitations. It uses this idea to predict how leaders and others will act.
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