Summary:
The book examines the factors that lead to the onset of civil wars, analyzing historical data and current trends to identify warning signs of potential conflict. It also proposes strategies and interventions that could prevent such internal conflicts from escalating, emphasizing the role of democratic institutions and international cooperation.
Key points:
1. Anocracy as a Risk: Walter notes that anocracies—regimes that are neither fully democratic nor autocratic—can lead to civil wars due to weak institutions and political instability.
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